An international
consultation to explore the possibility of establishing an early warning
system to check the spread of deadly stem rust of wheat was held at
ILRI in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 1-3 October.
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| Dr
Alan Paul Roelfs (right), a consultant with GRI, and Dr Amor
Yahyoui (second from left) in discussion with Ethiopian scientists
in a wheat field at Kulumsa Agricultural Research Station in
Ethiopia. |
Scientists and researchers from ICARDA,
CIMMYT, FAO, Ethiopia, Kenya, Egypt, Yemen, USA, Australia and Canada
attended the consultation to devise a strategy for the establishment
of monitoring and forecasting mechanisms for various races of stem
rust, particularly a very virulent new form, known as Ug99.
"We want to establish a mechanism for early warning, monitoring
and forecasting the movement of stem rust across the globe by using
geographic information systems (GIS). It would involve having people
on the ground to know how far the new race has spread into farmers'
crops. Once we can find out its location, we can then be more accurate
in predicting where the stem rust might go next based on crop and
weather information. We are looking at the model adopted by FAO to
forecast the movement of locusts," said Dr Amor Yahyaoui, Senior
Cereal Pathologist at ICARDA, and convener of the rust surveillance
group of the Global Rust Initiative (GRI). The GRI is supported by
the Arab Fund, Canada, India and USAID.
It was in 1999 in Uganda that scientists discovered Ug99 that has
defeated defenses in varieties that were resistant until the recent
past. Over the past few years, Ug99 has infected crops in North and
East African countries and early this year it was found in Yemen.
The stem rust now poses a major threat to the Arabian Peninsula, Middle
East and South Asia, which have vast wheat cultivation areas.
An early warning system based on FAO's Desert Locust Information Service
could help forecast the movement of stem rust. Both locust and stem
rust follow the wind currents and stem rust spores are carried long
distances by wind.
"The big challenge in addressing the Ug99 problem is the collection
of the required data in the field. Once you have the data, you need
to transmit it rapidly to scientists to analyze it. Conclusions from
that analysis will then suggest early warning measures and intervention
options to stop or limit further spread of the rust," said Dr
Keith Cressman, Locust Survey and Forecasting Officer at FAO.
The Desert Locust Information Service is based on using a small handheld
device, called e-Locust, which transmits data in real time from the
field to a national center and from there to its Rome-based headquarters.
Early warnings are issued based on the date of receipt of the data
from the field.
Dr Cressman said that early warning system for desert locust has been
functioning very well over the last few decades. "We think that
there might be lessons that can be learned and utilized in the monitoring
of stem rust and putting out early warning messages of its dispersal
to other parts of the world, allowing timely response." he said.
One of those responses would be developing wheat varieties with durable
resistance to stem rust, which is one of the major objectives of the
Global Rust Initiative.
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